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IMF projects Iran’s economy will shrink 6.1% in 2026 as inflation soars and rial slides

IMF sees deep contraction as blockade bites

IMF projects Iran’s economy will shrink 6.1% in 2026 as inflation soars and rial slides

War damage, a near-shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz and tightening sanctions have cut Iran off from trade, pushing prices higher and the currency to about 1.32 million rials per U.S. dollar, according to IMF and analyst estimates

Apr 24, 2026